
Divide by Sanctions: Can Polarization Defeat Illicit Trade?
In the global fight against illicit trade, sanctions have become the weapon of choice. From asset freezes to export bans, governments increasingly rely on economic pressure to isolate bad actors and enforce international norms. Yet a paradox emerges: the more aggressively sanctions are deployed, the more they may incentivize alternative alliances, shadow economies, and geopolitical polarization.